CME Scoreboard: Previous Year Page
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Past CMEs From 2016:
|
CME: 2016-11-05T04:48:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2016-11-09T05:28Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
CME Note: Filament Eruption off the northern Hemisphere giving a very wide-angle partial halo. Another CME came off the farside and eastern limb at a similar time. Evident in SOHO and STEREO imagery after 05/0200UTC.
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-11-08T16:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-13.47
|
----
|
2016-11-05T17:52Z |
83.60
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Karin Muglach (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-11-08T10:00Z
|
-19.47
|
----
|
2016-11-06T00:30Z |
76.97
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Barbara Thompson (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-11-08T00:00Z
(-9.0h, +6.0h)
|
-29.47
|
40.0
|
2016-11-06T01:00Z |
76.47
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-11-08T19:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
-10.47
|
75.0
|
2016-11-06T11:10Z |
66.30
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-11-08T11:15Z
|
-18.22
|
57.5
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.5 - 5.33333
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-10-20T14:36:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: Source is a filament eruption around 13:00 visible in the NW of SDO 193 and 304. Very faint, barely visible in coronagraphs
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-10-23T23:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2016-10-21T07:24Z |
63.60
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-10-23T23:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
----
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-10-09T02:00:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2016-10-12T21:21Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: Halo CME seen in C2 at 10-09T02:36Z and C3 at 10-09T06:30Z. Visible to the NW as seen by STA at 10-08T21:09Z. Source is unclear.
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-10-13T16:00Z
|
18.65
|
----
|
2016-10-09T17:06Z |
76.25
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-10-13T00:00Z
(-6.0h, +6.0h)
|
2.65
|
40.0
|
2016-10-10T11:00Z |
58.35
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-10-13T22:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
24.65
|
40.0
|
2016-10-10T13:53Z |
55.47
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-10-14T00:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
26.65
|
----
|
2016-10-10T14:39Z |
54.70
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-10-14T11:44Z
|
38.38
|
----
|
2016-10-12T03:43Z |
17.63
|
----
|
SPM
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-10-12T04:39Z
|
-16.70
|
0.0
|
2016-10-12T03:45Z |
17.60
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-10-13T13:03Z
|
15.70
|
26.6667
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.5 - 5.33333
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-07-28T22:24:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2016-08-02T11:23Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: The source of this CME is a filament eruption seen close to disk center in AIA 193/304 starting ~18:00 (with an activation/slow rise phase starting several hours earlier).
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-08-02T12:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
0.62
|
33.0
|
2016-07-29T13:55Z |
93.47
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-08-01T12:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-23.38
|
----
|
2016-07-29T16:53Z |
90.50
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-08-02T00:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
-11.38
|
60.0
|
2016-07-30T05:45Z |
77.63
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-08-02T00:00Z
|
-11.38
|
46.5
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.66667 - 5.33333
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-07-23T05:24:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: large spray of cooler material ejected from the active region with this CME, associated with double peaked flare.
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-07-25T21:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
----
|
15.0
|
2016-07-24T06:58Z |
38.03
|
Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 5.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-07-25T21:00Z
|
----
|
15.0
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 5.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-07-20T23:12:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-07-23T06:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
----
|
20.0
|
2016-07-22T07:20Z |
22.67
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-07-23T06:00Z
|
----
|
20.0
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-07-20T02:00:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-07-23T12:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2016-07-21T14:00Z |
46.00
|
Dst min. in nT: -57
Dst min. time: 2016-07-24T01:00Z
|
Anemomilos
|
WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) |
Detail
|
| 2016-07-23T12:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
----
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-07-17T12:48:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2016-07-19T23:05Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: Slow dimming and field line evolution visible in AIA images from 06:30-08:30. Note: the arrival listed here may not be due to this CME, but no other ICME could be found.
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-07-20T22:00Z
(-6.0h, +6.0h)
|
22.92
|
50.0
|
2016-07-17T17:00Z |
54.08
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-07-20T21:00Z
|
21.92
|
----
|
2016-07-17T17:22Z |
53.72
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-07-22T00:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
48.92
|
50.0
|
2016-07-18T12:25Z |
34.67
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-07-21T00:04Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
24.98
|
----
|
2016-07-18T16:14Z |
30.85
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Yaireska Collado (M2M Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-07-20T23:32Z
(-9.77h, +11.12h)
|
24.45
|
91.0
|
2016-07-18T21:13Z |
25.87
|
Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
|
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Karin Muglach (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-07-20T04:39Z
|
5.57
|
100.0
|
2016-07-19T06:44Z |
16.35
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-07-21T06:42Z
|
31.62
|
----
|
2016-07-19T06:49Z |
16.27
|
----
|
SPM
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-07-21T00:51Z
|
25.77
|
72.75
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 2.75 - 5.25
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-06-30T01:36:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: CME associated with activity seen in an AR located at a longitude/latitude of about 165/10 degrees and visible in STA EUVI images.
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-07-16T04:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2016-07-15T02:00Z |
26.00
|
Dst min. in nT: -95
Dst min. time: 2016-07-16T13:00Z
|
Anemomilos
|
WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) |
Detail
|
| 2016-07-16T04:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
----
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-05-15T15:36:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-05-18T00:30Z
(-5.0h, +5.0h)
|
----
|
80.0
|
2016-05-17T07:00Z |
17.50
|
----
|
DBM + ESWF
|
Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ) |
Detail
|
| 2016-05-18T11:30Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
----
|
30.0
|
2016-05-17T10:16Z |
25.23
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 7.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-05-18T08:07Z
|
----
|
100.0
|
2016-05-18T07:58Z |
0.15
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-05-19T02:22Z
|
----
|
----
|
2016-05-18T08:03Z |
18.32
|
----
|
SPM
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-05-18T11:37Z
|
----
|
70.0
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 7.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-05-02T08:42:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2016-05-06T15:48Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: The CME may have arrived on 2016-05-06T15:48Z. ACE magnetic field data shows a disturbance in form of a flux rope, plus density increased while the temperature decreased. Time of arrival is very rough.
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-05-06T10:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-5.80
|
----
|
2016-05-02T16:01Z |
95.78
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Yaireska Collado (M2M Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-05-06T12:00Z
|
-3.80
|
10.0
|
2016-05-03T02:52Z |
84.93
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-05-05T05:07Z
|
-34.68
|
0.0
|
2016-05-04T22:55Z |
40.88
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-05-06T17:54Z
|
2.10
|
----
|
2016-05-04T22:58Z |
40.83
|
----
|
SPM
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-05-06T05:15Z
|
-10.55
|
5.0
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-04-10T11:00:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2016-04-14T06:50Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
CME Note: CME associated with large filament eruption situated close to N18E29 starting around 10UTC.
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-04-14T00:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-6.83
|
----
|
2016-04-11T00:54Z |
77.93
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Yaireska Collado (M2M Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-04-13T14:00Z
|
-16.83
|
----
|
2016-04-11T05:07Z |
73.72
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-04-13T18:00Z
(-12.0h, +6.0h)
|
-12.83
|
30.0
|
2016-04-11T05:45Z |
73.08
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-04-14T12:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
5.17
|
----
|
2016-04-11T12:30Z |
66.33
|
----
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-04-13T04:51Z
|
-25.98
|
100.0
|
2016-04-12T20:30Z |
34.33
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-04-13T12:44Z
|
-18.10
|
----
|
2016-04-12T20:33Z |
34.28
|
----
|
SPM
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-04-13T18:15Z
|
-12.58
|
65.0
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.5
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-04-06T14:00:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-04-09T14:00Z
|
----
|
10.0
|
2016-04-07T15:23Z |
46.62
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-04-09T18:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
----
|
----
|
2016-04-08T02:57Z |
39.05
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Karin Muglach (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-04-09T15:27Z
|
----
|
----
|
2016-04-08T21:55Z |
17.53
|
----
|
SPM
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-04-09T20:02Z
|
----
|
0.0
|
2016-04-08T21:59Z |
22.05
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-04-09T16:52Z
|
----
|
5.0
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-03-23T05:00:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: CME arrival unclear. Could be at 2016-03-26T23:40Z
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-03-26T04:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
----
|
----
|
2016-03-23T22:52Z |
53.13
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-03-26T22:00Z
(-4.0h, +12.0h)
|
----
|
40.0
|
2016-03-24T02:10Z |
67.83
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-03-25T22:50Z
|
----
|
100.0
|
2016-03-25T21:57Z |
0.88
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-03-26T19:58Z
|
----
|
----
|
2016-03-25T22:00Z |
21.97
|
----
|
SPM
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-03-26T11:12Z
|
----
|
70.0
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-03-08T20:00:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2016-03-11T04:21Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: The origin of this arrival is unclear. It could also be from the signature in 193Å near disk center at 2016-03-08T03:50Z.
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-03-12T20:00Z
|
39.65
|
20.0
|
2016-03-09T17:02Z |
35.32
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-03-13T04:45Z
|
48.40
|
----
|
2016-03-12T11:15Z |
-30.90
|
----
|
SPM
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-03-12T13:24Z
|
33.05
|
0.0
|
2016-03-12T11:16Z |
-30.92
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-03-12T20:43Z
|
40.37
|
10.0
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-02-11T21:28:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2016-02-15T05:15Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: C8.9 flare originating from AR 12496/97 complex (with peak at 21:03), eruption from near the polarity inversion line between the 2 ARs, wave going to the north and west, AIA 304 shows dark absorption material being ejected, nice post-eruptive loops in AIA 193, CME is partial halo seen in LASCO and STA.
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-02-15T03:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
-2.25
|
70.0
|
2016-02-11T23:53Z |
77.37
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 7.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-15T06:14Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
0.98
|
----
|
2016-02-12T02:27Z |
74.80
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Karin Muglach (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-15T05:51Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
0.60
|
----
|
2016-02-12T02:52Z |
74.38
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Ethan Robinett (CUA) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-15T03:00Z
|
-2.25
|
----
|
2016-02-12T12:20Z |
64.92
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-15T01:00Z
|
-4.25
|
----
|
2016-02-12T17:19Z |
59.93
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-15T10:04Z
|
4.82
|
----
|
2016-02-12T18:33Z |
58.70
|
----
|
SPM
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-14T18:37Z
|
-10.63
|
100.0
|
2016-02-12T18:39Z |
58.60
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-15T03:42Z
|
-1.55
|
83.6667
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.2 - 5.33333
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-15T05:51Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
0.60
|
81.0
|
2016-02-17T02:22Z |
-45.12
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Ethan Robinett (CUA) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-02-05T21:30:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2016-02-11T15:54Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-02-09T07:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
-56.90
|
40.0
|
2016-02-06T12:17Z |
123.62
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-08T21:00Z
|
-66.90
|
50.0
|
2016-02-06T16:00Z |
119.90
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 7.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-09T18:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-45.90
|
----
|
2016-02-06T16:19Z |
119.58
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-08T23:03Z
|
-64.85
|
4.0
|
2016-02-07T03:11Z |
108.72
|
----
|
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-08T21:11Z
|
-66.72
|
0.0
|
2016-02-07T23:30Z |
88.40
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-02-09T03:38Z
|
-60.27
|
23.5
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.5 - 6.5
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-01-15T00:00:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2016-01-18T21:00Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: This CME is associated with a filament eruption to the SW starting around 21:45Z. CME is a partial halo, very faint.
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-01-18T12:38Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-8.37
|
----
|
2016-01-15T17:09Z |
75.85
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Yaireska Collado (M2M Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-01-18T07:54Z
(-5.5h, +4.3h)
|
-13.10
|
71.0
|
2016-01-15T21:37Z |
71.38
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-01-19T09:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
12.00
|
35.0
|
2016-01-16T12:44Z |
56.27
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-01-19T12:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
15.00
|
30.0
|
2016-01-16T18:35Z |
50.42
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-01-18T00:40Z
|
-20.33
|
0.0
|
2016-01-17T20:09Z |
24.85
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2016-01-18T18:02Z
|
-2.97
|
34.0
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.75
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-01-06T12:00:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-01-10T23:30Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
----
|
20.0
|
2016-01-07T09:25Z |
86.08
|
Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-01-10T10:37Z
|
----
|
10.0
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-01-09T21:44Z
|
----
|
0.0
|
2016-01-09T19:59Z |
1.75
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2016-01-02T01:50:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2016-01-03T15:00Z
(-12.0h, +12.0h)
|
----
|
40.0
|
2016-01-02T11:00Z |
28.00
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2016-01-03T12:00Z
(-6.0h, +6.0h)
|
----
|
40.0
|
2016-01-02T18:35Z |
17.42
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
|
Met Office (Met Office) |
Detail
|
| 2016-01-04T12:46Z
|
----
|
0.0
|
2016-01-04T11:03Z |
1.72
|
----
|
SPM2
|
Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) |
Detail
|
| 2015-09-04T05:15Z
|
----
|
26.6667
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.5 - 6.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
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